Aubrey Clayton
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The “Hot Hand” Is Not a Myth
With the NBA Finals upon us, a mathematician revisits the famous paper that claims a player's hot streak is an illusion.
To Beat COVID-19, Think Like a Fighter Pilot
How an aerial-combat theory can help fight the outbreak.
How to Predict Extreme Weather
Climate science is forging a more perfect union between humans and machines.
The Flawed Reasoning Behind the Replication Crisis
It’s time to change the way uncertainty is quantified.
How to Improve Political Forecasts
With a better understanding of probability, we won’t be misled.